Covid-19 has had a massive negative impact on the influencer marketing industry from a monetisation standpoint. Income sources are gone and a majority of brand deals have been cancelled or delayed. For those influencers who run their own brands, manufacturing and logistics have been shut down or are moving very slowly.
But this is all temporary and it’s highly likely that the industry will experience a massive rebound in late second quarter or early third quarter. Those who don’t solely rely on their career as an influencer or are well-known enough to have savings or investments will come out on top. Those who rely heavily on advertising income will struggle.
Monetisation is dramatically down, but from a content standpoint this is a boom period for many influencers. Online traffic has increased dramatically and consumers are bored and eager to explore and engage. Influencers focusing on fitness, cooking and comedy are experiencing the strongest growth.
While one would assume that the disruption caused by the Covid-19 has hurt China’s robust influencer marketing industry, it might be surprising to hear that it has actually helped influencers in some ways. Below are some detailed reasons why the industry is hurting – along with some reasons why it’s thriving – during this time.
Brand deals cancelled or postponed
Influencers in China primarily monetise their work through brand campaigns or selling their own products, but both of those are difficult right now.
Several influencers have shared that their first-quarter brand campaigns have all been postponed – many until as late as May. While this is a big blow to their earnings, they will likely make it all back later in the year if they can hold out until then. But the top influencers aren’t too concerned. Popular WeChat account GQZHIZU says that there are even some positive aspects to this unfortunate moment. For instance, publishing fewer commercial articles gives influencers a much-needed opportunity to create more and better editorial content.
According to several Chinese marketing media outlets, the advertising industry is expected to begin recovering in late second quarter, but it likely won’t be back to normal until June’s 618 shopping festival. Therefore, experts are predicting that the third quarter will be a boom period for marketing companies. With those businesses wanting to make up for lost time, top accounts might even find it hard to schedule all their ads.
Live-stream viewership is booming, but issues exist
With consumers confined to their homes, commercial live-streaming has been booming. Top Taobao live-streamer Austin Li took a break from streaming over the Lunar New Year period, but his first stream upon his return on 10 February drew more than 16 million viewers. Items were selling out before he could even finish. Followers complained that they couldn’t purchase items fast enough and even Chinese and Hollywood actress Zhang Ziyi watched the stream and left a comment under Li’s Weibo post asking how to buy the products, since they sold out so quickly.
However, while livestreaming viewership is booming and consumer purchasing power is still strong, streamers are facing two massive issues: a lack of stock and delayed logistics. They’re selling whatever they can get their hands on, and even new or in-stock items are being sold as pre-sale with the caveat that they’ll be shipped as soon as possible.
For example, Lancôme chose the first day back after Lunar New Year to launch several products via top streamers such as Li and Viya. However, the products weren’t able to ship to many regions of the country.
Challenges with video content creation
With restrictions on gathering people together and many still working from home, influencers who work with teams or film outdoors are having a hard time with content creation. And while it may surprise people, ecommerce live-streamers feel these issues too. Top streamers such as Li have teams of 50-200 people who work on product testing, brand communications, video production and more.
Elijah Whaley, who manages one of the top beauty influencers in China, shared his thoughts on the subject, saying: "We haven’t yet observed this situation affecting high-end influencers’ ability to create content. However, the longer the situation persists, the more it will undoubtedly affect content creators that rely on teams and studios. The immediate effects are more felt with the planned campaigns, which have already been cancelled or delayed, especially offline events."
Inability to travel and missing out on fashion weeks
Due to travel restrictions imposed by the US, UK, Italian and French governments to help prevent Covid-19 from spreading further, Chinese fashion influencers have been unable to attend any fall 2020 fashion weeks. While this is frustrating for influencers, it has had a greater impact on brands, many of which are losing out on this key time to generate buzz among Chinese consumers. Some brands, however, are trying to make the best of the situation.
Dior, which live-streamed its fashion show, is a prime example. While this isn’t a novel idea, Dior excelled by collaborating with six celebrities, 6 key opinion leaders and 16 fashion and media outlets to drive traffic and engagement with pre-stream promotions and viewer discussions during the stream.
Overall, the live stream received more than 10 million views and the related Weibo topic reached 100 million views.
Increased viewership/followers and high levels of engagement
Although a lot of influencers are currently losing money, many are simultaneously experiencing huge gains in viewership and engagement. Lunar New Year is typically a peak season for video apps, because people have more free time to kill, but this year viewership was magnified, with people confined to their homes for weeks on end because of the virus.
One report found that 574 accounts on popular video platforms Douyin and Kuaishou each gained between 100,000 and 500,000 new followers between 20 January 20 and 2 February. The report shared that governmental organisation and state-run media accounts experienced the most growth on both platforms, because people were using these accounts to follow the latest virus updates. Following those were comedy, gaming, food and celebrity videos.
One food influencer claims that he sees increased Douyin traffic every Lunar New Year and during the 2019 period, he gained more than one million followers from a single video. This year’s follower growth is even stronger – partly because people are staying at home and have more time to learn how to cook, but also because Douyin itself is now supporting cooking-related content. On 9 February, Douyin started a "tasty food challenge" and, as of the end of February, it had more than 10.3 billion views, with most participants between the ages of 24 and 30.
Comedy content is also doing well on Bilibili and, according to statistics released by the platform, views of videos tagged with the word "funny" grew by 905% between 23 January and 5 February.
Meanwhile, influencers who have been able to appropriately incorporate virus-related content have also seen tremendous growth. On 2 February, a video by a popular science account educating people about the coronavirus went viral. Two days after it was posted on WeChat, the video had more than 32 million views and 490k "wows" ("likes"). It was played more than 1.5 billion times on the internet and its WeChat account gained 1.3 million followers, its Weibo account 1.8 million and its Douyin account 1.6 million.
But even influencers with content completely unrelated to the virus have seen massive growth. Whaley shared what her client beauty influencer Melilim Fu has experienced, saying: "From personal observations, yes, growth has been quite significant. Her fans have increased by 10% in the last two weeks, which is way above average, and those increases are across the board, including engagement and new private traffic followers. It’s very noticeable that people are spending more time bored at home."
Engagement levels have also been much higher, as consumers have more time to fully digest content and leave comments. Sales associates at Chinese department store INTIME have been using this to their advantage by live-streaming daily in an attempt to develop relationships with chattier-than-usual viewers, so they visit the offline store once the virus period has passed.